| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Emmen | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 67.33% ( | 17.44% ( | 15.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.83% ( | 30.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( | 51.39% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.7% ( | 8.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.06% ( | 28.94% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( | 32.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.7% ( | 69.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 4-1 @ 4.85% ( 3-2 @ 4.35% ( 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 4-2 @ 2.71% ( 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 5-2 @ 1.35% ( 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 6-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 67.33% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.44% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0-1 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 15.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 18 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 1 |
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