

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heidenheim in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 44.79% ( | 25.66% ( | 29.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( | 50.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( | 72.4% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( | 22.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.96% ( | 56.03% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( | 31.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.38% ( | 67.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.79% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 93 | 32 | 61 | 76 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 25 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 22 |
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