Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
BMO Field
DC United

Toronto
2 - 0
DC United

Insigne (48'), Bartlett (66' og.)
Dominguez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 New England
Saturday, May 3 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawDC United
40.82% (0.077999999999996 0.08)24.33% (0.023 0.02)34.85% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (-0.133 -0.13)42.75% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (-0.133 -0.13)65.15% (0.131 0.13)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)53.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.119 -0.12)24.11% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)58.4% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 40.82%
    DC United 34.85%
    Draw 24.33%
TorontoDrawDC United
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.82%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: Toronto vs DC United

Toronto
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
DC United
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Enow (8'), Benteke (35')
Benteke (90+4'), Rowles (90+2')
Osorio (27'), Bernardeschi (70' pen.)
Long (17'), Rosted (60'), Flores (78')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Kerr (83')
Flores (65'), Kerr (77'), Laryea (90+1')
Rodriguez (67'), Badji (88'), Pirani (90+3')
Pirani (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Ku-Dipietro (79'), Klich (90+5' pen.)
Etienne (2'), Bernardeschi (33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
> Preview