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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Subaru Park
DC United

Philadelphia
3 - 0
DC United

Glesnes (15'), Jean Jacques (52'), Damiani (77')
Glesnes (7'), Westfield (34'), Jean Jacques (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowles (4'), Hakim Karamoko (72'), Barraza (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 DC United
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 DC United

Recent meetings between Saturday's opponents suggest a high-scoring affair, and we are expecting the game to pan out that way. That said, we are also backing the home side to flex their muscle in front of goal once again en route to a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
48.17% (0.212 0.21) 23.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 28.61% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 60.9% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.82% (0.183 0.18)40.18% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.45% (0.189 0.19)62.55% (-0.187 -0.19)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (0.149 0.15)16.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (0.262 0.26)47% (-0.261 -0.26)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.68% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)61.94% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 48.17%
    DC United 28.61%
    Draw 23.22%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.61%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs DC United

Philadelphia Union
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 11.15pm
Philadelphia
4-0
DC United
Uhre (13'), Gazdag (16', 70'), Baribo (51')

Herrera (25'), Dajome (90+3')
May 5, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Philadelphia
Dajome (9'), Murrell (33')
Ku-Dipietro (90+2')
Bedoya (42'), McGlynn (79')
Carranza (20'), Flach (45+2'), Lowe (45+2')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-3
Philadelphia
Ku-Dipietro (88')
Miller (36')
Uhre (5'), McGlynn (13'), Gazdag (38' pen.)
Harriel (68'), Glesnes (76'), Donovan (90+4')
May 18, 2023 12.55am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-6
Philadelphia
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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