

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United | 
| 48.17% (  0.21) | 23.22% (  -0.06) | 28.61% (  -0.15) | 
| Both teams to score 60.9% (  0.1) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.82% (  0.18) | 40.18% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.45% (  0.19) | 62.55% (  -0.19) | 
| Philadelphia Union Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.07% (  0.15) | 16.93% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53% (  0.26) | 47% (  -0.26) | 
| DC United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.31% (  -0.01) | 26.68% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.06% (  -0.01) | 61.94% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.41% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.13% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 4.22% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.68% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.87% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% (  0.02) Other @ 4.16% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 10.6% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.22% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.52% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.62% (  0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.97% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.94% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.08% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.74% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% (  -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.61% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 | 
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 | 
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 | 
| 4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 | 
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 | 
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 | 
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 | 
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 
| 9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 
| 12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 | 
| 13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 | 
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 | 
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 | 
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 | 
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 
| 8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 | 
| 10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 | 
| 11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 | 
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 | 
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
