Philadelphia4 - 0DC United
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 DC United
It is getting close to now or never time for both of these teams, and we trust that the experience of the Union will find a way to win, as they have done in countless big games over the years. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for DC United had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
50.26% ( 0.04) | 23.2% ( -0.01) | 26.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( 0.01) | 41.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( 0.01) | 64.05% ( -0.02) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( 0.02) | 16.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.38% ( 0.04) | 46.61% ( -0.04) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.02) | 28.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.2% ( -0.02) | 64.79% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 26.53% |
