

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Dallas | 
| 49.53% (  -0.02) | 22.9% (  -0.02) | 27.57% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 61.2% (  0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.58% (  0.13) | 39.42% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.23% (  0.14) | 61.76% (  -0.13) | 
| DC United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.85% (  0.04) | 16.15% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.4% (  0.08) | 45.6% (  -0.07) | 
| Dallas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.99% (  0.1) | 27.01% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.64% (  0.12) | 62.36% (  -0.12) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| DC United | Draw | Dallas | 
| 2-1 @ 9.49% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.95% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.25% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.77% (  0) 3-0 @ 4.41% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% (  0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% (  0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 10.41% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.36% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.65% (  0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.81% (  0) 0-1 @ 5.71% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.74% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.97% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% (  0) 1-4 @ 0.97% (  0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.57% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 56 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 48 | 
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 | 
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 42 | 
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 39 | 
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 | 
| 7 | Orlando City | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 34 | 
| 8 | Toronto | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 33 | 
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 28 | 
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 | 
| 11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 27 | 
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 26 | 
| 13 | Nashville SCNashville | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 | 
| 14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 26 | 
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 26 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 | 
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 | 
| 3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 44 | 
| 4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 | 
| 5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 | 
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 | 
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 37 | 
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 | 
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 | 
| 10 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 33 | 
| 11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 | 
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 | 
| 13 | St Louis City | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 24 | 
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 17 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
