

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Dallas |
| 49.53% ( | 22.9% ( | 27.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( | 39.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% ( | 61.76% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( | 16.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.4% ( | 45.6% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( | 27.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.64% ( | 62.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 48 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Toronto | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
| 11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 27 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Nashville SCNashville | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 26 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
| 3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
| 10 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | St Louis City | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 17 |
