

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.08%).
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | St Louis City |
| 68.24% ( | 17.18% ( | 14.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.71% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.46% ( | 51.53% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.86% ( | 8.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.46% ( | 28.54% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( | 33.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.73% ( | 70.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 4-1 @ 4.92% 4-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 4-2 @ 2.68% ( 5-1 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 5-2 @ 1.35% ( 6-1 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 6-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0-2 @ 1.62% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 14.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 48 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Toronto | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
| 11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 27 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Nashville SCNashville | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 26 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
| 3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
| 10 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | St Louis City | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 17 |
