Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Evander (45+8' pen.), Moreno (73'), Rodriguez (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Hlongwane (29'), Sang-bin (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-0 Vancouver
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 Minnesota United

While Minnesota United still sit above their hosts in the Conference standings, the two sides' momentum has shifted with the Timbers gaining confidence and the visitors' struggling form. Having lost some of their confidence without Oluwaseyi's goals, we see the Loons succumbing to a quickly improving Portland Timbers team in Oregon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
55.06% ( -0.22)	21.6% ( 0.12)	23.34% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 61.33% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73% (

-0.49)

37.27% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.52% (

-0.53)

59.48% (

0.53)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

-0.23)

13.55% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.36% (

-0.46)

40.64% (

0.46)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95% (

-0.19)

29.04% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04% (

-0.24)

64.95% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 55.06%

Minnesota United 23.34%

Draw 21.6%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 23.34%