Minnesota Utd2 - 1Portland
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Portland Timbers
Portland may be high on confidence after a fantastic comeback victory during midweek, but Ramsay's men have proved to be a difficult team to beat in their matches this season. Minnesota have won both the last two meetings between these sides, while they have not lost at home in this fixture in any of the last seven, leading us to believe the hosts will be victorious in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
52.83% ( -0.59) | 22.11% ( 0.07) | 25.05% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.21) | 37.89% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( 0.23) | 60.14% ( -0.23) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( -0.12) | 14.47% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.23) | 42.44% ( 0.22) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( 0.52) | 28.04% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.31% ( 0.65) | 63.69% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.05% |
