

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers | 
| 52.83% (  -0.59) | 22.11% (  0.07) | 25.05% (  0.52) | 
| Both teams to score 61.55% (  0.36) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.11% (  0.21) | 37.89% (  -0.21) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.85% (  0.23) | 60.14% (  -0.23) | 
| Minnesota United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.53% (  -0.12) | 14.47% (  0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.56% (  -0.23) | 42.44% (  0.22) | 
| Portland Timbers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.96% (  0.52) | 28.04% (  -0.52) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.31% (  0.65) | 63.69% (  -0.66) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers | 
| 2-1 @ 9.64% (  -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.84% (  -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.58% (  -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.21% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.88% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.95% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 3% (  -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.36% (  -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.91% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.16% (  -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.91% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 9.97% (  0) 2-2 @ 6.13% (  0.06) 0-0 @ 4.06% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.67% (  0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.34% (  0.09) 0-1 @ 5.16% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 3.28% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 2.69% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 2.6% (  0.06) 0-3 @ 1.39% (  0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.05% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 | 
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 | 
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 | 
| 5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 | 
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 
| 7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 | 
| 8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 
| 9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 | 
| 11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 | 
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 | 
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | 
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 | 
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 | 
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 | 
| 4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 | 
| 5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 | 
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 | 
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 | 
| 8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 | 
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 | 
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 | 
| 11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 | 
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 | 
| 13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 | 
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
