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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 46 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 0 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 46 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 1 | 44 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 2 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 54.64% ( | 22.59% ( | 22.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( | 42.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( | 64.93% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( | 15.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.62% ( | 44.38% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( | 32.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.04% ( | 68.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.64% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
