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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 53.66% | 22.87% | 23.47% |
| Both teams to score 57.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% | 43.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% | 65.43% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% | 16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.67% | 45.33% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% | 32.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.42% | 68.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-1 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.57% Total : 23.47% |
