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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Houston Dynamo

Portland
2 - 2
Houston

Mora (37'), Fogaca (76')
Zuparic (67'), Evander (71'), Chara (73'), Williamson (82'), Dorsey (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kowalczyk (9'), Carrasquilla (50')
Escobar (27'), Bassi (52'), Herrera (53'), Micael (76'), Raines (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 0-2 Portland
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 3-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 1-2 Houston Dynamo

We have seen great improvements from the Dynamo away from home, and we believe their patience and compact defensive shape will frustrate the home side, enabling Orange Crush to win a second successive encounter at Providence Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
46.31% (0.198 0.2) 24.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 29.41% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)44.54% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)66.9% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (0.043999999999997 0.04)19.37% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (0.077999999999996 0.08)51.16% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)28.34% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)64.07% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 46.31%
    Houston Dynamo 29.41%
    Draw 24.27%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Houston
1-0
Portland
Ibrahim (43')
Dorsey (52'), Kowalczyk (70'), Artur (80')

Zuparic (57'), Miller (64')
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Portland
1-3
Houston
Mora (80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74')
Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Houston
5-0
Portland
Bassi (5' pen.), Quinones (11'), Baird (14'), Escobar (45+3'), Smith (63')
Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4')

Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90')
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland
Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')
Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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