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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
St Louis City

Houston
0 - 0
St Louis City


Jackson (85')
FT

Schmitt (74'), Ostrak (74'), Jackson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 3-1 St Louis City

 While they have improved in many areas of the field, St Louis still allow their share of scoring opportunities, and that could benefit the Dynamo on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
67.45% (-0.404 -0.4) 18.76% (0.159 0.16) 13.78% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (-0.169 -0.17)40.01% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (-0.174 -0.17)62.37% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.151 -0.15)10.92% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (-0.334 -0.33)35.11% (0.333 0.33)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (0.252 0.25)41.04% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (0.223 0.22)77.59% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 67.45%
    St Louis City 13.78%
    Draw 18.76%
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.94% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.78%

How you voted: Houston vs St Louis City

Houston Dynamo
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
St Louis City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 3.30am
First Round 2nd Leg
Houston
1-0
St Louis City
Sviatchenko (60')
Escobar (90+3')

Nerwinski (42'), Wentzel (90')
Feb 21, 2024 1am
First Round 1st Leg
St Louis City
2-1
Houston
Parker (61'), Kijima (90')
Kowalczyk (72')
Clark (21'), Dorsey (88'), Segal (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Houston
1-1
St Louis City
Baird (42')
Sviatchenko (8'), Escobar (22'), Herrera (25'), Carrasquilla (61')
Klauss (88')
Blom (34'), Parker (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-0
Houston
Lowen (9' pen.), Ostrak (51'), Gioacchini (83' pen.)
Blom (45+5'), Jackson (69'), Alm (90+1')

Carrasquilla (45+5'), Franco (45+7'), Caicedo (45+2'), Olsen (46'), Bartlow (78')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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