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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
FC Dallas

Houston
1 - 1
Dallas

Bassi (45+6')
Kowalczyk (54'), Segal (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (69')
Norris (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Dallas

Dallas have been the more successful side of the two in the history of this fixture but have struggled to pick up victories when playing away from home, failing to win since August 2016. For that reason, we believe this one will end all square, leaving Dallas to retain El Capitan for a third successive year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
61.72% (0.137 0.14) 21.95% (-0.064 -0.06) 16.33% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.141 0.14)48.87% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (0.127 0.13)70.96% (-0.128 -0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (0.090999999999994 0.09)15.32% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.94% (0.171 0.17)44.05% (-0.173 -0.17)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)79.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 61.71%
    Dallas 16.33%
    Draw 21.94%
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 61.71%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: Houston vs Dallas

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dallas
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
Houston
Musa (55'), Ibeagha (80')
Estevez (6'), Musa (16'), Illarramendi (42'), Kamungo (73')

Micael (62'), Gaines (87')
Dorsey (5')
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Dallas
Steres (41'), Lundqvist (47'), Zeca (86')
Hedges (17'), Quignon (22'), Ferreira (85'), Farfan (88'), Servania (90+8')
Servania (90+13')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Dallas
2-1
Houston
Ntsabeleng (87'), Quignon (90+3')
Farfan (2'), Cerrillo (71'), Quignon (90+5')
Ferreira (33')
Dorsey (35'), Carrasquilla (78'), Bartlow (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4Orlando City135622415921
5Nashville SCNashville136342215721
6Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
7New York City FCNY City136251514120
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire135442424019
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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