Euro 2024

European Championship | Round of 16

Jul 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Portugal
vs.
Slovenia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between Portugal and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 clash with Slovenia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Portugal
Wednesday, June 26 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	Turkey	3	0	6
3	Georgia	3	0	4
4	Czech Republic	3	-2	1

Slovenia

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: England 0-0 Slovenia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Providing Roberto Martinez opts against more tactical experimentation, Portugal should have too much firepower for a hard-working Slovenia side to handle. The underdogs tend to sacrifice possession to their opponents - having less than 40% of the ball in every game so far - which will invite pressure from the Selecao's skilful forwards. Even if it takes some time to make a breakthrough, the Portuguese squad runs deep - and that could ultimately prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw has a probability of 19.8% and a win for Slovenia has a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Slovenia win it is 0-1 (4.44%).

Result
Portugal	Draw	Slovenia
65.52% ( 0.03)	19.76% ( 0.07)	14.72% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47% (

-0.54)

42.53% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

-0.53)

64.93% (

0.53)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83% (

-0.15)

12.17% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.2% (

-0.32)

37.8% (

0.31)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

-0.47)

41.3% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

-0.42)

77.82% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Portugal 65.51%

Slovenia 14.72%

Draw 19.76%

Portugal	Draw	Slovenia
2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.47% Total : 65.51%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.76%	0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.72%