Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Dallas3 - 1Austin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Dallas 2-1 Austin FC
Dallas have put together a fine run of results at home in recent weeks and will be backing themselves to pick up where they left off against LA Galaxy. Austin have struggled for results on their travels, and given their record at the Toyota Stadium, we are tipping the hosts to come out on top once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
53.34% ( -0.76) | 23.56% ( 0.32) | 23.1% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.94) | 46.43% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.89) | 68.71% ( 0.89) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0.62) | 17.35% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.27% ( -1.1) | 47.73% ( 1.09) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0.13) | 34.3% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29% ( -0.14) | 71% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Dallas 53.34%
Austin FC 23.1%
Draw 23.55%
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.15% Total : 23.1% |
How you voted: Dallas vs Austin
Dallas
87.9%Draw
9.1%Austin FC
3.0%33
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 1.30am
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Austin
0-1
Dallas
Ferreira (89')
