Major League Soccer

Jul 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
vs.
NY City

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-0 Austin
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Montreal
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We say: Austin FC 1-1 New York City FC

The Boys in Blue are still looking for that decisive attacking quality away from home that can make the difference between one and three points, and we expect that will hamper them on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 29.12% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.66%).

Result
Austin FC	Draw	New York City FC
47.54% ( 7.19)	23.33% ( -1.97)	29.12% ( -5.23)

Both teams to score 60.86% (

4.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.6% (

6.92)

40.4% (

-6.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.22% (

6.76)

62.77% (

-6.76)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

6.01)

17.25% (

-6.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.43% (

9.61)

47.57% (

-9.62)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

0.09)

26.45% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

0.12)

61.63% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 47.54%

New York City FC 29.12%

Draw 23.33%

Austin FC	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.99) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 1.26) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.94) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.84) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.87) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.65) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.58) Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.54%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -1.61) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.38) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.83) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -2.12) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -1.4) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.61) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.12%