Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
58.74% (![]() | 21.85% (![]() | 19.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.43% (![]() | 43.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.04% (![]() | 65.96% (![]() |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.49% (![]() | 14.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.48% (![]() | 42.52% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.73% (![]() | 36.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.95% (![]() | 73.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 10.15% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 0-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.34% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 50 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 38 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 37 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 36 |
7 | Orlando City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 33 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 27 |
9 | Toronto | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
14 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 24 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 44 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 38 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 37 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 36 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 30 |
11 | Dallas | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 23 |
13 | St Louis City | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 22 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 14 |