Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 54.45% | 23.4% | 22.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% | 46.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% | 69.05% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% | 17.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.74% | 47.26% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% | 35.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.86% | 72.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.44% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 32 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 30 |
| 6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Toronto | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | DC United | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 32 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 30 |
| 6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Toronto | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | DC United | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |