Major League Soccer

Jun 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
0 - 1
Atlanta

Tubbs (34'), Klich (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almada (79')
Almada (18'), Cobb (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 DC United
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Houston
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: DC United 2-1 Atlanta United

Although their worrying winless run remains intact, DC United have been relatively impressive in matches with Toronto and Charlotte over the past fortnight. Atlanta are without a number of their first-team stars for the trip to Washington on Wednesday, and we feel that major absences will result in a narrow defeat for the Five Stripes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	Atlanta United
47.63% ( 1.46)	23.09% ( -0.19)	29.29% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 61.87% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88% (

0.16)

39.12% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.55% (

0.17)

61.45% (

-0.16)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27% (

0.62)

16.73% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.35% (

1.09)

46.65% (

-1.09)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

-0.72)

25.7% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38% (

-0.99)

60.62% (

Score Analysis

DC United 47.63%

Atlanta United 29.29%

Draw 23.08%

DC United	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.28% Total : 47.63%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.29%