Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 1.05am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 0
DC United

Campana (90+4')
Rojas (30'), Campana (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Birnbaum (20'), Benteke (26'), McVey (48'), Klich (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United

If Messi cannot go as anticipated, the Herons could have difficulty creating some dangerous scoring opportunities, as we saw in their midweek affair. Whether he plays or not, Miami have not proven to be consistently strong at the back, and they will be facing one of the deadliest strikers in the league in Christian Benteke, who we believe will make the difference for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for DC United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	DC United
56.13% ( -6.7)	21.52% ( 2.38)	22.34% ( 4.31)

Both teams to score 60.27% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.93% (

-5.05)

38.06% (

5.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.66% (

-5.59)

60.33% (

5.58)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

-3.4)

13.49% (

3.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48% (

-7.26)

40.51% (

7.25)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67% (

1.11)

30.32% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49% (

1.31)

66.5% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 56.13%

DC United 22.34%

Draw 21.52%

Inter Miami	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.84) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.9) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.95) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.91) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.49) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.63) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.58) Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.13%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( 1.35) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.92) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.52%	1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.96) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 1.21) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.79) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.34%