Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Chelsea |
| 33.13% ( | 23.28% ( | 43.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( | 38.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( | 60.42% ( |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( | 22.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( | 56.66% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( | 17.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.58% |