

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Groningen win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 35.16% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 39.48% ( | 25.36% ( | 35.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( | 47.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( | 69.67% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( | 23.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.07% ( | 57.92% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( | 26.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.79% ( | 61.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 9 |
| 2 | Groningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Willem II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Heracles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
