Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for NEC has a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%), while for a NEC win it is 1-2 (5.21%).
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC | 
| 60.58% (  -1.99) | 19.73% (  0.46) | 19.68% (  1.53) | 
| Both teams to score 62.6% (  1.24) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.82% (  0.32) | 33.17% (  -0.32) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 45.07% (  0.36) | 54.92% (  -0.37) | 
| AZ Alkmaar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.29% (  -0.41) | 10.71% (  0.4) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.37% (  -0.91) | 34.63% (  0.91) | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.1% (  1.7) | 29.89% (  -1.7) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34% (  2.01) | 65.99% (  -2.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC | 
| 2-1 @ 9.65% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.99% (  -0.42) 3-1 @ 7.19% (  -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.15% (  -0.25) 3-0 @ 5.95% (  -0.42) 3-2 @ 4.34% (  0.11) 4-1 @ 4.01% (  -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.32% (  -0.3) 4-2 @ 2.42% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.79% (  -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.49% (  -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.08% (  -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% (  0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 8.64% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 5.82% (  0.24) 0-0 @ 3.2% (  -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% (  0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.21% (  0.3) 0-1 @ 3.87% (  0.12) 2-3 @ 2.34% (  0.2) 0-2 @ 2.33% (  0.17) 1-3 @ 2.1% (  0.21) 0-3 @ 0.94% (  0.11) Other @ 2.89% Total : 19.68% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 
| 2 | Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 
| 5 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 
| 6 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 
| 7 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 
| 9 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 10 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 11 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 12 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 
| 14 | NECNijmegen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
