Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for NEC has a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%), while for a NEC win it is 1-2 (5.21%).
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
| 60.58% ( | 19.73% ( | 19.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.82% ( | 33.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.07% ( | 54.92% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.29% ( | 10.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.37% ( | 34.63% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34% ( | 65.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 4-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 19.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | NECNijmegen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
