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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | NEC |
30.09% (![]() | 24.36% (![]() | 45.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.42% (![]() | 44.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.05% (![]() | 66.95% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% (![]() | 27.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% (![]() | 63.53% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% (![]() | 19.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.29% (![]() | 51.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 7.28% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.09% | 1-1 @ 11.4% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 9.26% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
2 | Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |