
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | NEC | 
| 30.09% (  1.47) | 24.36% (  0.58) | 45.55% (  -2.05) | 
| Both teams to score 57.89% (  -1.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.42% (  -1.8) | 44.58% (  1.8) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.05% (  -1.76) | 66.95% (  1.77) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.1% (  0.1) | 27.91% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.48% (  0.12) | 63.53% (  -0.12) | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.3% (  -1.55) | 19.71% (  1.56) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.29% (  -2.59) | 51.71% (  2.59) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Almere City | Draw | NEC | 
| 2-1 @ 7.28% (  0.25) 1-0 @ 7.02% (  0.55) 2-0 @ 4.48% (  0.36) 3-1 @ 3.1% (  0.11) 3-2 @ 2.51% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.91% (  0.16) 4-1 @ 0.99% (  0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.09% | 1-1 @ 11.4% (  0.37) 2-2 @ 5.91% (  -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.5% (  0.42) 3-3 @ 1.36% (  -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 9.26% (  -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.93% (  0.26) 0-2 @ 7.25% (  -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.01% (  -0.35) 0-3 @ 3.93% (  -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.2% (  -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.04% (  -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.6% (  -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.3% (  -0.16) Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.55% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 
| 2 | Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 
| 3 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 5 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 
| 6 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 
| 7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 
| 8 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 9 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 
| 14 | Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 17 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
