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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
55.5% (![]() | 22.85% (![]() | 21.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% (![]() | 44.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% (![]() | 67.33% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% (![]() | 16.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% (![]() | 45.43% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% (![]() | 34.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% (![]() | 71.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
1-0 @ 10.23% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |