

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.43%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 22.05% ( | 21.52% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( | 38.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( | 60.72% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( | 30.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( | 13.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.43% ( | 40.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 1-0 @ 4.9% ( 2-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 1-4 @ 3.28% ( 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 1-5 @ 1.31% ( 0-5 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.58% Total : 56.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
