Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 47.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.