Fiorentina3 - 1Panathinaikos
Comuzzo (70'), Pongracic (74'), Kean (77'), Palladino (82'), Zaniolo (90+1')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
for
Sunday, March 9 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
for
We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Panathinaikos
Fiorentina have fought back in many European ties over the past three years, and are well experienced at getting the job done in this competition, so they will fancy their chances of turning the tables here, despite being the slight outsiders. Panathinaikos have lost four of their last nine matches, and were held to a 1-1 draw by Atromitos in the league with a strong XI at the weekend, suggesting that a lack of consistency could be their undoing here, after also flattering to deceive against Vikingur in the previous round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Panathinaikos |
44.68% ( 0.26) | 25.14% ( -0.01) | 30.18% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
