

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 16.54% ( | 20.58% ( | 62.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.35% ( | 42.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% ( | 65.05% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( | 38.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.28% ( | 75.72% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( | 12.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.56% ( | 39.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 2-0 @ 2.24% ( 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 3-1 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.54% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.58% | 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-3 @ 7.19% ( 1-3 @ 6.77% ( 0-4 @ 3.67% ( 1-4 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 1-5 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 62.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
