

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 72.15% ( | 17.72% ( | 10.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( | 44.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( | 67.16% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( | 11.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.66% ( | 35.34% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.64% ( | 50.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.1% ( | 84.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-0 @ 13.49% 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 3-0 @ 9.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.14% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
