

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 16.31% ( | 21.13% ( | 62.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( | 45.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( | 67.81% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.01% ( | 40.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.45% ( | 77.55% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( | 13.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.59% ( | 41.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 3-1 @ 1.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.31% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0-2 @ 11.09% ( 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0-3 @ 7.29% ( 1-3 @ 6.5% ( 0-4 @ 3.59% ( 1-4 @ 3.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 1-5 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 62.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
