Atalanta

5 - 0

Sturm Graz

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.