MX23RW : Friday, November 10 02:01:29| >> :120:6785:6785:
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
Djimsiti (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gorenc Stankovic (45+2'), Schnegg (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LASK 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 5 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Sturm Graz

Atalanta have an excellent record at home this season and will know that a win here could give them a chance to rotate their squad over the busy December period, which could be very important for both their league and cup aspirations. While the visitors will not be a pushover, we feel that the hosts will be too good for them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 27.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSturm Graz
47.78% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 24.62% (-0.035 -0.04) 27.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81% (0.16099999999999 0.16)47.19% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (0.152 0.15)69.42% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.073999999999998 0.07)19.82% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (0.117 0.12)51.89% (-0.116 -0.12)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.09899999999999 0.1)31.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.113 0.11)67.32% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.78%
    Sturm Graz 27.6%
    Draw 24.61%
Atalanta BCDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 27.6%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sturm Graz

Atalanta BC
82.5%
Draw
11.1%
Sturm Graz
6.3%
63
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Sturm Graz
2-2
Atalanta
Prass (13'), Wlodarczyk (80' pen.)
Hierlander (45+7'), Kiteishvili (45+2')
Hierlander (52')
Muriel (34', 45+7')
Lookman (45+7'), Bakker (82')
rhs 2.0
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