Atalanta face a tough test in Austria on Thursday, but they have continuously showed their attacking ability across all competitions this term and we fancy them to come out on top in an intriguing encounter with arguably more quality all over the pitch than their hosts possess.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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