Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 1
Atalanta

Dele-Bashiru (27')
Zaccagni (69'), Rovella (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brescianini (88')
Hien (34'), Cuadrado (69'), Lookman (90'), Lookman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Empoli
Sunday, December 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Atalanta BC
26.25% ( 0.48)	24.3% ( 0.17)	49.46% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.23% (

-0.35)

46.77% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.97% (

-0.33)

69.03% (

0.33)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

0.2)

31.83% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

0.23)

68.27% (

-0.23)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

-0.39)

18.96% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

-0.66)

50.49% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Lazio 26.25%

Atalanta BC 49.45%

Draw 24.29%

Lazio	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.25%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 49.45%