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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
0 - 2
Atalanta


Dybala (53'), El Shaarawy (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Roon (69'), Zaniolo (89')
Hien (78'), Kolasinac (88'), Zaniolo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Roma
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-6 Atalanta
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Roma 2-2 Atalanta BC

Roma's wait for a win will go on, but the home side may be able to halt Atalanta by hanging on for a draw. Everything the visitors touch turns to goals, but the Giallorossi have some untapped potential and can benefit from Claudio Ranieri's avuncular approach. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
28.47% (-1.241 -1.24) 25.08% (-0.341 -0.34) 46.44% (1.577 1.58)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (0.772 0.77)48.62% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26% (0.699 0.7)70.74% (-0.703 -0.7)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.502 -0.5)31.1% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.59 -0.59)67.43% (0.586 0.59)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (1.026 1.03)20.97% (-1.03 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (1.58 1.58)53.72% (-1.584 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Roma 28.47%
    Atalanta BC 46.44%
    Draw 25.07%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.355 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.47%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.155 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.239 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.248 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.095 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.144 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.44%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
12.2%
Draw
20.2%
Atalanta BC
67.6%
287
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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