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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Napoli

Retegui (16'), Lookman (55')
Djimsiti (64'), Ruggeri (66'), Scalvini (76'), Hien (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Politano (27'), McTominay (40'), Lukaku (78')
Neres (42'), Conte (74'), McTominay (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Napoli

Chasers Atalanta excel at home, while Serie A leaders Napoli are a force to be reckoned with on the road. Therefore, an intense contest between two of Italy's most respected coaches could end with the spoils shared, perhaps handing an advantage to Inter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
44.7% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.94% (-0.123 -0.12) 29.35% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (0.551 0.55)51.74% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.474 0.47)73.51% (-0.474 -0.47)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.23800000000001 0.24)23.07% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.349 0.35)56.91% (-0.349 -0.35)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.375 0.38)32.07% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.424 0.42)68.54% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 44.7%
    Napoli 29.36%
    Draw 25.94%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
30.2%
Draw
39.6%
Napoli
30.2%
149
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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