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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Napoli

Retegui (16'), Lookman (55')
Djimsiti (64'), Ruggeri (66'), Scalvini (76'), Hien (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Politano (27'), McTominay (40'), Lukaku (78')
Neres (42'), Conte (74'), McTominay (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Napoli

Chasers Atalanta excel at home, while Serie A leaders Napoli are a force to be reckoned with on the road. Therefore, an intense contest between two of Italy's most respected coaches could end with the spoils shared, perhaps handing an advantage to Inter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
44.7% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.94% (-0.123 -0.12) 29.35% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (0.551 0.55)51.74% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.474 0.47)73.51% (-0.474 -0.47)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.23800000000001 0.24)23.07% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.349 0.35)56.91% (-0.349 -0.35)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.375 0.38)32.07% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.424 0.42)68.54% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 44.7%
    Napoli 29.36%
    Draw 25.94%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
30.2%
Draw
39.6%
Napoli
30.2%
149
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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