Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
Panathinaikos3 - 2Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Panetolikos
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Panathinaikos 1-1 Fiorentina
Panathinaikos will almost certainly be difficult to beat considering their strong form at home, and it would be surprising if they conceded many chances. However, given Fiorentina's proven track record in the knockout phases of the Conference League, they will back themselves to earn a positive result ahead of the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 44.91% | 26.46% ( -0) | 28.63% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
