Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match.