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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
Portland Timbers

Nashville
2 - 0
Portland

Najar (45+3'), Qasem (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGraw (5'), Ayala (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Austin
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 Portland Timbers

Having stumbled into the new campaign, Nashville now face the stern challenge of a spirited Portland side whom they have failed to get the better of in any of their previous four encounters. However, the Boys in Gold boast a superior and more experienced squad, and we fancy them to secure a much-needed victory in front of their home supporters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
50.09% (-0.475 -0.48) 24.3% (0.106 0.11) 25.61% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.155 -0.16)47.32% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.146 -0.15)69.54% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)18.92% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.57% (-0.415 -0.41)50.43% (0.415 0.41)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (0.22 0.22)32.64% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (0.245 0.24)69.18% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 50.09%
    Portland Timbers 25.61%
    Draw 24.3%
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Nashville vs Portland

Nashville SC
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Portland Timbers
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-1
Nashville
Mora (18'), Rodriguez (22', 24'), Williamson (29')
Surridge (82')
Kallman (90+3')
Anunga (35')
Jul 4, 2022 1.30am
Nashville
2-2
Portland
Davis (19'), Williams (57')
Zimmerman (77')
Asprilla (64' pen.), Niezgoda (70')
Ayala (29'), McGraw (50')
Jul 6, 2020 12am
Mar 8, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 4
Portland
1-0
Nashville
Valeri (12')
Mabiala (5'), Chara (84'), Duvall (90')

Lovitz (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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