Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
49.47% (![]() | 22.88% (![]() | 27.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.73% (![]() | 39.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.4% (![]() | 61.6% (![]() |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% (![]() | 16.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.47% (![]() | 45.52% (![]() |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% (![]() | 26.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.81% (![]() | 62.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 10.38% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.82% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |