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Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Allianz Field
Real Salt Lake

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
Salt Lake

Oluwaseyi (30', 55')
Pereyra (32'), St Clair (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brook (82'), Ruiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-2 LA Galaxy
Saturday, March 22 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 3-2 Real Salt Lake

Both teams have been significantly porous in defence of late, and we expect that to translate to a goalfest on Sunday. That said, we are backing the home side to come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
49.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 22.88% (-0.032 -0.03) 27.64% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.73% (0.17899999999999 0.18)39.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4% (0.187 0.19)61.6% (-0.185 -0.18)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (0.063000000000002 0.06)16.11% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (0.113 0.11)45.52% (-0.112 -0.11)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.122 0.12)26.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (0.16 0.16)62.19% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 49.48%
    Real Salt Lake 27.64%
    Draw 22.87%
Minnesota UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 27.64%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 1am
MLS Cup Round One
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 1-1 | Minnesota Utd win 3-1 on penalties)
Rosales (53')
Eneli (75')
Crooks (90+9')
Oct 30, 2024 12.50am
MLS Cup Round One
Salt Lake
0-0
Minnesota Utd
(Aggregate 0-0 | Minnesota Utd win 5-4 on penalties)
Abel Diaz Beleno (8'), Trapp (80')
Oct 3, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
0-0
Minnesota Utd
Vera (32'), Arango (90')
Vera (90+3')
Abel Diaz Beleno (5'), Dotson (24'), Yeboah (34'), Boxall (89')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
Oluwaseyi (86')
Rosales (40'), Trapp (45+1')
Rosales (89')
Arango (24')
Katranis (64'), MacMath (82'), Eneli (90+1')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Musovski (79'), Glad (90+8')
Silva (58')
Dotson (27'), Reynoso (39')
Irwin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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