Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.