Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
41.85% (![]() | 27.02% (![]() | 31.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.72% (![]() | 55.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.5% (![]() | 76.5% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% (![]() | 26.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% (![]() | 61.11% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% (![]() | 32.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% (![]() | 69.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.42% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.61% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 12.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.52% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |