We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Rio Ave
Sporting have won their last five matches, scoring three goals in four of those, and have defeated Rio Ave in two of their last three meetings, finding the net three times in each; hence, we expect a convincing win from the home side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.