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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon


Aguilera (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aderlan (3' og.), Hjulmand (23' pen.), Gyokeres (88')
Araujo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 12 at 4.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

Still licking their wounds from their Taca da Liga heartbreak, Sporting Lisbon will be looking to clean the dust off their feet this weekend and open up a four-point lead at the top of the table. While we expect Rio Ave to put up a fight in front of their home supporters, Borges' side boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are tipping them to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
12.78% (0.475 0.48) 18.07% (0.186 0.19) 69.14% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.83600000000001 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (0.34 0.34)39.2% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (0.356 0.36)61.53% (-0.361 -0.36)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (0.978 0.98)42.04% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (0.836 0.84)78.47% (-0.84 -0.84)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)10.27% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.35% (-0.166 -0.17)33.64% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 12.78%
    Sporting Lisbon 69.14%
    Draw 18.07%
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.74% (0.04 0.04)
2-1 @ 3.69% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 1.62% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.07% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.78%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.07%
0-2 @ 11.18% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 8.48% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 7.35% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.09 0.09)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 69.14%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
5.6%
Draw
5.6%
Sporting Lisbon
88.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Rio Ave
Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')
Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rio Ave
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
Pantalon (90+1')
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')
Feb 6, 2023 9.15pm
Dec 7, 2022 8.30pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Inacio (62'), Boateng (73' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30226278255372
2Benfica30233474254972
3Braga30196551252663
4Porto30195657263162
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30121264132948
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara30145112929047
7FamalicaoFamalicao30111093933643
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3098133544-935
11Rio AveRio Ave3089133348-1533
12AroucaArouca3089133045-1533
13Nacional3095162741-1432
14Gil Vicente3078153043-1329
15Estrela Amadora3068162243-2126
16AVS30412142349-2624
17SC FarenseFarense3049172041-2121
18BoavistaBoavista3056192047-2721


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