

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 12.78% ( | 18.07% ( | 69.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% ( | 39.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.46% ( | 61.53% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( | 42.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.53% ( | 78.47% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.73% ( | 10.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.35% ( | 33.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3.74% ( 2-1 @ 3.69% ( 2-0 @ 1.62% ( 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 3-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.78% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.07% | 0-2 @ 11.18% ( 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-3 @ 8.48% ( 1-3 @ 7.35% ( 0-4 @ 4.83% ( 1-4 @ 4.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0-5 @ 2.2% ( 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 2-4 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 4.5% Total : 69.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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