Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.78% (![]() | 18.07% (![]() | 69.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.79% (![]() | 39.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.46% (![]() | 61.53% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.96% (![]() | 42.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.53% (![]() | 78.47% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.73% (![]() | 10.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.35% (![]() | 33.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 3.74% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.78% | 1-1 @ 8.52% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.07% | 0-2 @ 11.18% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.83% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 4.5% Total : 69.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |