

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 50.36% ( | 26.13% ( | 23.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( | 56.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( | 77.26% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( | 22.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.11% ( | 55.89% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.64% ( | 39.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.95% ( | 76.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 |
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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