MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:21:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Wolfsburg

Mainz
2 - 2
Wolfsburg

Jae-sung (37'), Kohr (40')
Kohr (51'), Veratschnig (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Arnold (3'), Vavro (89')
Tomas (68'), Vavro (90+3'), Maehle (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Wolfsburg

Unbeaten since October at home in the Bundesliga, Mainz should be confident of getting their Champions League charge back on track this weekend. Wolfsburg are marooned in mid-table as their seasons begins to peter out, and we feel that Die Wolfe will suffer a fifth straight defeat on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
44.73% (-0.916 -0.92) 25.72% (-0.113 -0.11) 29.55% (1.028 1.03)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.968 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (0.97 0.97)50.72% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.85 0.85)72.62% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (1.264 1.26)31.4% (-1.263 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (1.438 1.44)67.77% (-1.44 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 44.73%
    Wolfsburg 29.55%
    Draw 25.71%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05
96.8%
Draw
3.2%
Wolfsburg
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Wolfsburg
4-3
Mainz
El Amine Amoura (19'), Tomas (57'), Wind (84', 90+4')
Baku (21'), Arnold (22'), Tomas (68')
Nebel (11', 66'), Burkardt (39')
Henriksen (27'), Amiri (43'), Jae-sung (45+2'), Kohr (56'), Leitsch (90+1')
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
1-3
Mainz
Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')
Gruda (24'), Van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-1
Wolfsburg
Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!