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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Wolfsburg

Mainz
2 - 2
Wolfsburg

Jae-sung (37'), Kohr (40')
Kohr (51'), Veratschnig (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Arnold (3'), Vavro (89')
Tomas (68'), Vavro (90+3'), Maehle (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
44.73% (-0.916 -0.92)25.72% (-0.113 -0.11)29.55% (1.028 1.03)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.968 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (0.97 0.97)50.72% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.85 0.85)72.62% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (1.264 1.26)31.4% (-1.263 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (1.438 1.44)67.77% (-1.44 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 44.73%
    Wolfsburg 29.55%
    Draw 25.71%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05
96.8%
Draw
3.2%
Wolfsburg
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Wolfsburg
4-3
Mainz
El Amine Amoura (19'), Tomas (57'), Wind (84', 90+4')
Baku (21'), Arnold (22'), Tomas (68')
Nebel (11', 66'), Burkardt (39')
Henriksen (27'), Amiri (43'), Jae-sung (45+2'), Kohr (56'), Leitsch (90+1')
> Preview
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
1-3
Mainz
Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')
Gruda (24'), Van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-1
Wolfsburg
Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


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