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Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 11, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
RB Leipzig

Fischer (58'), Skov Olsen (75')
Gerhardt (34'), Fischer (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Openda (11'), Simons (26', 49')
Chadaille Bitshiabu (36'), Simons (36'), Openda (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
38.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)24.11% (0.009999999999998 0.01)36.97% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.03% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)41.44% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.84% (0.052 0.05)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61%21.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.38% (0.012 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)22.37% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)55.87% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 38.93%
    RB Leipzig 36.97%
    Draw 24.11%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 38.93%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.97%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
34.3%
Draw
17.1%
RB Leipzig
48.6%
105
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2025 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
1-0
Wolfsburg
Sesko (69' pen.)
Lukeba (82'), Haidara (86'), Openda (90+4')

Maehle (67'), Svanberg (90+4')
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
1-5
Wolfsburg
Orban (82')
Baumgartner (26'), Vermeeren (52')
El Amine Amoura (4', 16'), Tomas (5'), Maehle (64'), Behrens (90+1')
Fischer (57')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Wolfsburg
Olmo (13'), Sesko (68'), Openda (82')
Rose (26'), Schlager (27'), Simons (90+1')

Behrens (25'), Fischer (25'), Jenz (35'), Svanberg (85')
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Wolfsburg
2-1
RB Leipzig
Wind (9'), Rogerio (66')
Svanberg (35'), Zesiger (45+4'), Lacroix (59'), Casteels (90+2')
Poulsen (52')
Openda (33'), Rose (34'), Simons (79')
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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