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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 38.93% ( | 24.11% ( | 36.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( | 41.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( | 63.84% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% | 21.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( | 54.38% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( | 22.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( | 55.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.97% |