MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:39:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 11, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
RB Leipzig

Fischer (58'), Skov Olsen (75')
Gerhardt (34'), Fischer (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Openda (11'), Simons (26', 49')
Chadaille Bitshiabu (36'), Simons (36'), Openda (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg have been poor in front of goal and have found wins difficult to come by, and their struggles in the final third could cost them their chance of victory. While Leipzig will be confident following their morale-boosting win against Hoffenheim, they have been subpar away from home and may fail to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
38.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.11% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 36.97% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.03% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)41.44% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.84% (0.052 0.05)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61%21.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.38% (0.012 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)22.37% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)55.87% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 38.93%
    RB Leipzig 36.97%
    Draw 24.11%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 38.93%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.97%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
34.3%
Draw
17.1%
RB Leipzig
48.6%
105
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2025 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
1-0
Wolfsburg
Sesko (69' pen.)
Lukeba (82'), Haidara (86'), Openda (90+4')

Maehle (67'), Svanberg (90+4')
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
1-5
Wolfsburg
Orban (82')
Baumgartner (26'), Vermeeren (52')
El Amine Amoura (4', 16'), Tomas (5'), Maehle (64'), Behrens (90+1')
Fischer (57')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Wolfsburg
Olmo (13'), Sesko (68'), Openda (82')
Rose (26'), Schlager (27'), Simons (90+1')

Behrens (25'), Fischer (25'), Jenz (35'), Svanberg (85')
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Wolfsburg
2-1
RB Leipzig
Wind (9'), Rogerio (66')
Svanberg (35'), Zesiger (45+4'), Lacroix (59'), Casteels (90+2')
Poulsen (52')
Openda (33'), Rose (34'), Simons (79')
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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