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Wolfsburg
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Koln
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-3 RB Leipzig

 With 12 goals at the correct end of the field in their last 270 minutes of football, Leipzig - in spite of a few potential rotations - could enjoy a field day against a wobbly Wolfsburg backline, as was the case in their Bundesliga meetings last season. DFB-Pokal exits to Die Roten Bullen are all too familiar for the hosts, who could still experience a sliver of attacking joy against their injury-hit visitors but cannot be relied upon to keep the back door bolted shut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
28.44% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 23.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 48.18% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 60.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)41.04% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.43% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)27.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)62.66% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)17.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (0.021999999999998 0.02)47.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 28.44%
    RB Leipzig 48.18%
    Draw 23.38%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.44%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 48.18%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
8.3%
Draw
9.4%
RB Leipzig
82.3%
96
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